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Jack is a graduate of Rutgers University where he majored in history. His career in the life and health insurance industry involved medical risk selection and brokerage management. Retired in Florida for over two decades after many years in NJ and NY, he occasionally writes, paints, plays poker, participates in play readings and is catching up on Shakespeare, Melville and Joyce, etc.

Thursday, December 9, 2021

12-9-2021 - College Football Problem and Advice for Democrats

 

What's Wrong with College Football

College football is going down the tube. Look at the attendance at all but the biggest games.  What is killing it is the way it handles the flow of talent. (A lot of this is also applicable to college basketball but that’s a matter for another day.)

Contrast it with how talent flows in baseball and professional football.   Both NFL and Major league baseball teams get to choose the best talent available from colleges, high schools and elsewhere, based on their performance.  The worst performing teams get to make the first choices when it comes time for the annual ‘drafting’ of players.  Eventually, the bad teams get better players and the top teams don’t have early choices of recruits, unless they ‘trade’ for them.  Watch and see how the NFL’s Detroit Lions, whose awful 2021 performance earns them top choices, improve.  Same thing for baseball’s cellar dwellers. Eventually, they will rise to the top, or at least become contenders.

Not so with college football.  Rating agencies regularly rank the top players in high school and prep school teams throughout the nation.  Colleges know who they are. Some parents actually move their ball-playing sons to different secondary schools to better display their talents.  This is common in places like Florida where they can get away with it.  But unlike in the two major sports mentioned above, MBL and the NFL, the worst-performing college programs don’t have the first choice.  It’s just a matter of who can best recruit the five-star and four-star rated high school players, all of whom dream of a career in the NFL, giving them millionaire status, which explains parental involvement. 

It is that dream that drives them to the top teams in the five major conferences, and the best chances of being on TV week after week and making it to the NFL or even being in contention for the Heisman trophy, awarded to the top college football player each year.  And new rules, allowing college football players to commercialize their names and make a profit from it do not help.  A firm will pay for an endorsement of their product by someone who plays for Clemson, but not usually for a player from Western Kentucky University. 

The top talent goes to the schools that already have it, the Michigans, the Ohio States, the Clemsons, the Oklahomas, the Alabamas, the Georgias, the Notre Dames, etc.  The rest of the teams get the leftover high school athletes and, however talented they may be, they end up playing for the losers in these conference like Vanderbilt, Arizona, Boston College, or in less prestigious conferences.  The teams at the bottom do not get the top rising talent.  Those already on top get them.  And that’s why they stay on top, year after year.  Oh, they try to blame the coaches and fire and hire them, but most coaches know what to do to produce a winner, but to do that, they have to have top-level recruits.  Most teams do not.

There are about 64 really serious college programs in the five major football conferences and about another dozen more in lesser conferences.  There are many hundreds of high school athletes carrying five-star, four-star and three-star ratings for which these colleges all compete in offering scholarships in the recruiting race. 

In my opinion, the top ranked college teams in these programs (the SEC, ACC, Big 10, Big 12 and the PAC) and a few, very few, others should be limited in the number of these top prospects to whom they may offer scholarships.  The perennial losers, the Vanderbilts, should have first crack at recruiting them, with the perennial winners, like Alabama, ‘handicapped’ in the recruiting race.  An example might be to limit conference winners or runners-up to no five-star recruits at all and only two or three four-star and three-star ones.  Then and only then will we see schools like Stanford, Maryland, Texas Tech and Vanderbilt consistently fielding winning teams and playing in the major bowl games determining the college national football champion. All it would take is this change in the flow of talent to these teams.

If this doesn’t happen, college football will continue to be no more than a collection of a few really good teams akin to baseball’s Triple A level.  The rest won’t matter.  Look at the attendance at their games.  And that is why college football is going down the tube, unless, of course, you’re satisfied with the Mid America and the Sunbelt Conferences.

And the same thing, really, holds true for college basketball but with many more teams and conferences involved, making it more complicated. Do you think that Duke, Gonzaga, UCLA and Baylor won't be among the top seeds in the NCAA March tourney this year and next year and the year after as well?  Don’t  bet on that!  

And speaking of betting, the legalization in many States and online of wagering on college sports cannot be ignored. (There are a lot of money-hungry hoopsters out there who don't remember the scandals of the late 1950's and 1960's.)

JL

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Advice for Democrats and Praise (?) for Mitch

Mitch McConnell just announced that the Republicans will not have an issue-oriented platform for the 2022 Congressional races. They will limit their campaign to just attacking Democrats.  That is very smart because their position on issues, if it were announced, would lose them support. 

Opposing abortion, protecting the January 6 insurrectionists and those who instigated the attack, voting against measures which would help people of color (particularly in voting), against measures that would reinforce women’s rights and opposing measures to combat climate change (despite unprecedented fires and floods) are not the ways to gain votes. Neither is fighting any increase in health care benefits. So they will just continue attacking Democrats with repeated lies, led by the King of Liars, the former president.

That is very smart strategy.  Their base is ignorant and gullible enough to feast on “Let’s Go Brandon” and such nonsense.  It goes over big with them.  The Big Lie about stolen elections in 2020, while totally fictitious, has had its effect on the voting population, who increasingly show distrust of the election process, in fact, of democracy.  This is what the Democrats are up against and Republicans love.

The Democrats should play the same game and put most issues (except passing voting rights legislation) on the back burner. They should devote their campaign to attacking Republicans who have a documented record of consistently voting against measures which are in the best interest of most Americans and particularly persons of color and women.

Attacking almost all Republicans’ record of such voting should help mobilize the vast number of voters among persons of color and women, absolutely essential to maintaining Democratic control of both Houses of Congress in 2022.

And this goes for State legislative and governorship races as well (where it all starts)

Nothing else really matters. There is no other way to save democracy in our country.  Nancy, Chuck, Joe …. Listen to me!  Please!

JL

JL

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US Embassy in Havana, no longer in use.

Havana Syndrome Debated

Bari Weiss’ Substack blog “Common Sense” just included an opinion piece on the Havana Syndrome, said to be affecting some of our diplomatic employees which some contend is real and other say is not.  It includes both sides.  It’s long, but worth reading.  Find it at:

https://bariweiss.substack.com/p/the-attacks

JL


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