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Jack is a graduate of Rutgers University where he majored in history. His career in the life and health insurance industry involved medical risk selection and brokerage management. Retired in Florida for over two decades after many years in NJ and NY, he occasionally writes, paints, plays poker, participates in play readings and is catching up on Shakespeare, Melville and Joyce, etc.

Wednesday, June 17, 2020

Trump, the Liar - . Let's Look at the Numbers - Thoughts on Covid19









If you have any doubt that Donald J. Trump is the biggest
liar since Pinocchio, check out this MSNBC piece about who did or did not bring about legislation to prevent police abuses.  CLICK HERE TO READ ABOUT IT AND HEAR HIM LIE.  Lies will be a hallmark of his re-election campaign.  








Death Statistics Worth Looking At

By visiting https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/deaths.htm  CLICK HERE TO QUICKLY GET THERE., a source of information provided by the Federal Government’s Centers for Disease Control, you will see that in 2017 (and there is no reason to believe the figures for subsequent years are significantly different), there were 2,813,503 deaths in the United States.  Let’s assume this pattern will continue.  

Heart disease was the leading cause of death with about 650,000 deaths.  Cancer accounted for about 600,000 deaths.  Pneumonia and influenza were the cause of about 55,000 deaths and Chronic Lower Respiratory Disorders were the cause of about 160,000 more, a total of about 215,000 deaths in the area where Covid19 infection also occurs. 

You can review these statistics by visiting CLICKING HERE to get to the CDC site.  It also offers links to other sites containing related information.  I suggest you explore them.  Your taxes are paying for them.

Scientists anticipate that the Covid19 Pandemic will claim about 200,000 lives this year (2020) in the United States.  Conceivably, this number will represent a sizable portion of the 215,000 deaths already anticipated for the two respiratory categories mentioned above, in which case total mortality would not be significantly affected.

On the other hand, that 200,000 number might be separate from and over and above that 215,000 number. That depends on how the counting is done.  That would increase the total number of deaths for the year by about 7%.   However, improvements in mortality in other areas, such as heart disease and cancer treatment, may serve to mitigate any increase in total mortality.
   
Seven percent is a big number.  It could be the real number.  But then again, it might not be.  This is all the more reason for Americans to continue to practice physical distancing, frequent hand washing and wearing a mask when near others.  Better to be safe than sorry.

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