A Lesson from the Belmont Stakes
It's no
surprise that Justify won the Belmont Stakes, completing his attaining the
Triple Crown of horseracing. My pick in
the race indeed was Justify, with the caveat that if he hadn’t gotten the lead
by the half-mile pole, he would have a hard time winning, but would still
win. Well, he had the lead, as we all
saw, from the minute he left the gate and the issue was never in doubt.
The
most interesting story to come out of the race is the second-place finisher, long
shot Gronkowski (named after and partially owned by the Boston Patriots
receiver). After a quarter mile of
the one and a half mile race, shown below, Gronkowski was last by almost twenty lengths, about ten lengths behind the next to last horse.
But during the final half mile of the race, he took off
from way back there passing everyone except Justify, the easy winner. Gronkowski’s race is the race to watch, when
looking at replays of the Belmont Stakes.
There’s
a lesson in life in there somewhere, particularly for those distressed by being in last place, in horseracing or wherever else. (Gronkowski, a 23-1 shot, paid $13.80 for those who puchased a $2 "place" ticket on him, hoping he would come in second.)
Jack Lippman
A Little About Life Insurance
I
frequently see an advertisement on TV whereby life insurance with no health
questions asked is offered to seniors up to age 85 at the amazing price of
$9.95 a month regardless of age. Sounds
pretty good, but here are the facts which the guy doing the pitch leaves
out. It probably is in the very, very small print on the screen for a couple of
seconds which no one ever has time to read.
Fact
1: The premium may be the same
regardless of age, but the amount differs since it depends on how large a permanent
death benefit that premium will purchase, and of course, the older one is, the
smaller the face amount of the insurance policy is.
Fact
2: True, there are no health questions
to answer, but to avoid people on their deathbeds loading up with this
insurance, the death benefit is limited to a return of the premiums paid, plus
a little interest, during the policy’s first two years.
Fact
3: The policies sold are traditional
“whole life” policies where the cash value (roughly what you can cash in the
policy for) grows over the years and finally, at age 95 or perhaps 100, is
equal to the death benefit itself or at least forms a great part of it. Thus, statements to the effect that the death
benefit can never be reduced sound good but really are meaningless.
Fact
4: (And this is the hard one) All life insurance policies, whether they
are “whole life,” universal life or endowment policies, are based on mortality
tables which tell the insurance company how many people at any given age will
not survive to make the next year. Whatever
the structure of the policy, there has to be enough money to pay death
claims on those that are anticipated to die within any policy year according to
these mortality tables. Example:
At age 75, assume the tables say twenty people out of 1,000 will not make age
76. At age 85, assume they say 40 people
out of 1,000 will not make age 86. From
these numbers, a price per $1000 of insurance at every policy year is determined
and built into the level premium of the permanent policy to pay for whatever death benefit amount the cash value of a typical whole life policy is insufficient to cover. For what it is worth, that price is called the
“one-year term rate,” even though the policy is not a “term” policy.
But these prices assume the insureds are healthy and have answered health questions to prove it! And that is not the case with these kinds of insurance policies! So, if insurance companies sell life insurance where they have no idea of the condition of the insureds’ health, they must jack up the ever-increasing one-year term rate per $1000, perhaps as much as 100%, to cover the extra deaths which are sure to occur. That’s why someone who can answer health questions and can qualify for a “regular” insurance policy, and who might have a need for life insurance, should purchase a “regular” policy, and not one of the cockamamie plans touted on TV.
But these prices assume the insureds are healthy and have answered health questions to prove it! And that is not the case with these kinds of insurance policies! So, if insurance companies sell life insurance where they have no idea of the condition of the insureds’ health, they must jack up the ever-increasing one-year term rate per $1000, perhaps as much as 100%, to cover the extra deaths which are sure to occur. That’s why someone who can answer health questions and can qualify for a “regular” insurance policy, and who might have a need for life insurance, should purchase a “regular” policy, and not one of the cockamamie plans touted on TV.
(For
those of you who were able to digest this, here’s one more thing to think
about. All level premium “whole
life” type insurance involves overpaying in the policy’s early years, paying
more than that internal one-year term rate mentioned above for those years, and
underpaying, paying less than that one-year term rate for those years, in the
policy’s later years. By the time the
“underpaying” starts occurring, there is sufficient “cash value” built up by
the “overpaying” so that less one-year term insurance need be purchased
internally to provide, along with the accumulated cash value, the
policy’s death benefit. By age 95 or 100,
there is usually no need for the internal purchase of very much one-year term
insurance at all to flesh out the death benefit. By then, it’s usually all in the cash value. That’s what “whole life” insurance is. Don’t blow this by the typical insurance
sales person. He or she won’t understand what
you’re talking about. But at least you
should know the facts.)
JL
JL
Kathleen Parker on Barr and Bee
Rosanne
Barr was fired for what she tweeted and Samantha Bee was chastised for what she
said on her TV show. Barr is a bigot and
her tweet showed her to be one. That’s
easy to understand whether one agrees with her or not. But Bee was chastised for using the “c _ _ _”
word in relation to Ivanka Trump. With her late evening program entitled “Full Frontal,” what can viewers expect? Mr. Rogers? Sesame Street? Analyzing it is not so simple. It goes a little deeper into the question of
vulgarity and more importantly, femininity.
Only a woman can be called a “c_ _ _.”
And there is no better woman than Kathleen Parker
to get to the bottom of this. Don’t pass
judgement on anyone until you read this moderate, sane, Republican woman’s
recent Washington Post column. Click here to read her column.
JL
Down in "Old Kaintuck"
I
read the other day where this kid, the valedictorian of his high school
graduation class in a town deep in the coal country of southeastern Kentucky,
included the following quote in his valedictory speech.
“Don’t just get involved. Fight for your seat at the table. Better yet, fight for a seat at the head of the table.”
The crowd cheered when he announced these words of Donald J. Trump! Surely, it was quite inspirational to the graduates! As he concluded his address, though, he apologized to the audience. The quote, he explained, was not from the President, but actually were the words of his predecessor, Barack Obama. The audience was puzzled. Some even booed. Hey, don’t worry. It happened in Kentucky. There’s hope! Sort of like the horse that ran a surprising second in the Belmont Stakes.
JL“Don’t just get involved. Fight for your seat at the table. Better yet, fight for a seat at the head of the table.”
The crowd cheered when he announced these words of Donald J. Trump! Surely, it was quite inspirational to the graduates! As he concluded his address, though, he apologized to the audience. The quote, he explained, was not from the President, but actually were the words of his predecessor, Barack Obama. The audience was puzzled. Some even booed. Hey, don’t worry. It happened in Kentucky. There’s hope! Sort of like the horse that ran a surprising second in the Belmont Stakes.
Sound of Thunder
(Originally posted on this blog in 2011)
Most of you have probably heard of, if not read, Ray Bradbury’s 1952 science fiction short story, Sound of Thunder, probably the most widely circulated piece of that genre ever written. In it, men travel back in time on a hunting expedition and are offered the opportunity to kill dinosaurs, but only carefully selected ones which the “tour guides” know are about to die of natural causes anyway. The hunters are cautioned not to step off the walkway along which they have been guided because if they did so, they would be stepping back into a pre-historic time where they unknowingly might do damage which could affect the future. One hunter panics, veers off of the walkway crushing a butterfly with his boot, an act which so alters evolution that when the group returns to the present time, everything is slightly different, words are spelled a little differently, the world seems harsher and most importantly, the potential despot who was about to lose a Presidential election wins it. If this whets your appetite, read the story.
I relate this because every time I visit our
nearby nature preserves and refuges (Green Cay, Wakodahatchee, Loxahatchee or
Gumbo Limbo) which permit you to walk through their flora and fauna on elevated
wooden walkways, I am reminded of the walkways in Bradbury’s story. For example, as you walk along the Green Cay
walkways (particularly toward sunset), your surroundings cannot be very
different than those surrounding the hunters in Sound of Thunder on that day when one of them stepped off of the
walkway and killed a butterfly.
JL
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