Here’s an interesting piece from the Editors at Bloomberg View, taken from the internet. Monetary policy is difficult stuff to understand and when it involves more than our nation’s economy, it is even stickier. Nevertheless, we live in a global economy so what happens in Europe affects us as well, sooner or later.
My read on
this is that Europe’s monetary woes actually are a problem turning on wealth
redistribution. When a country turns to
what amounts to printing money as the United States and the United Kingdom have done in their “quantitative
easing” practices, whereby the government (the Federal Reserve here) puts additional
money backed by little more than good faith into circulation by buying up bonds, the value of the money already in circulation is lessened, and the wealth of those possessing it reduced accordingly, some of that wealth thereby being transferred into the newly circulating increased supply
of cheapened money. This apparently has
increased the gross domestic product here and in the UK, whereas in Europe, where
it is not being done, economic activity is stagnant or falling. So it might be said that this variety of wealth redistribution works.
As for
fiscal, as opposed to monetary policy, it appears that European nations which practice
austerity in order to reduce their deficits are doing more harm than good to
their economy. Once again, “trickle-down”
practices where investments by the wealthy are supposed to improve the economy
don’t seem to be working as well as more direct ways of job creation through
government subsidies, which hard-strapped governments which opted for austerity claim they cannot afford.
Read the
article. This is really important stuff. Maybe you’ll get more out of it than I
did. Remember, I am not an economist and have little faith in what economists say, because often, learned and honored practitioners of that profession say diametrically opposed things.
Nevertheless, similar thoughts can be found in the
Paul Krugman’s columns in the New York Times and elsewhere.
JL
Europe's
Economy Is Broken
Taken from Bloomberg View
Aug 14, 2014 2:13 PM EDT
Investors were expecting bad numbers, but not this bad:
Europe's economies
stalled in the second quarter, new figures show. How much longer
will Europe's policy makers just stand there?
Since the global financial crisis of 2008, the U.S. and the
U.K. have seen output grow more slowly than in previous recoveries. That's
nothing to boast about. Still, six years on, gross domestic product is higher
in both countries than it was at the pre-crisis peak. Europe's output remains
2.4 percent below that benchmark. And the gap isn't closing.
All three of the euro area's biggest economies -- Germany,
France and Italy -- are failing. Germany's output actually fell in the second
quarter. So did Italy's, for the second consecutive quarter. (Whether this is a
new recession
for Italy or a continuation of the old one is debatable.) The
European Central Bank currently forecasts a rise in euro-area output of 1
percent this year. Expect that to be revised down next month.
With inflation in the euro area running at 0.4 percent --
way below the ECB's target of less than but
close to 2 percent, and far too close to outright deflation -- why
isn't the ECB trying harder to ease monetary policy? Its official answer is
that it adopted new measures in June, including an expanded program of support
for bank lending. These, it says, should be given time to work.
Patience is often a virtue in central banking, but not in
this case. The ECB's
measures in June were timid, and the risks are increasingly skewed
toward deflation and further prolonged stagnation or
worse. The euro area needs quantitative easing of the kind applied by the U.S.
Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. The case for this has been strong for
months; now it's overwhelming.
The ECB is nervous because outright QE faces political and
legal obstacles. One way or another, those issues will have to be resolved --
and that's what ECB President Mario Draghi needs to start saying. Whatever it
takes, Mr. Draghi.
Monetary easing, though, isn't enough. The euro area also
needs to rethink its fiscal policy. France just
did -- demanding that its deficit-reduction target for 2014, imposed
by the European Union, be relaxed. This makes sense. In a stagnating or
shrinking economy, fiscal austerity can be self-defeating: If it slows economic
growth even more, a fiscal squeeze can add to the burden of public debt.
German policy makers have resisted proposals to loosen the
euro area's agreed fiscal targets. The European Commission has echoed the same
line, insisting that supply-side reforms are the key to recovery. This is
short-sighted. Europe needs both demand-side and supply-side stimulus -- but
the first is both more urgent and can be delivered more promptly.
Europe's economy is in a dangerous place. Its fiscal and
monetary policies need to change, and there's no excuse for further delay.
To contact the senior editor responsible for Bloomberg
View's editorials: David Shipley at davidshipley@bloomberg.net.
A Short Subject
The part of Florida where I
live has many older, retired residents.
Most of them are shorter than they formerly were. A five-foot five retiree finds out at their
doctor’s office that their new height is five-foot two. You encounter this on the road frequently when all
you can see of the driver in the car next to you is a pair of hands on the
steering wheel and the top half of a head.
So we were sitting in the
movies the other evening when
the woman sitting to our right decided to remove a sweater from her shoulders and tossed
it over the back of the unoccupied seat in front of her. A few seconds later, it came flying back at
her as the anguished voice of a vertically-challenged senior complained, “Oy, I
thought I was going blind, everything went dark, like something was thrown over my eyes!”
Jack Lippman
Losing
Faith In CNN
During
the Israeli bombardment of on Gaza, directed at stopping Hamas’ rocket attacks on
Israel as well as destroying their tunnels designed to sneak commandos into
Israel, to surface there and to wreak havoc there, many Palestinian civilian
deaths and injuries were incurred. In reporting them,
CNN and many other news media passed on the pictures of mangled bodies, often
of children, and of scenes in hospitals, which were fed to them by Hamas with
the aim of placing the blame for these atrocities upon Israel.
It
was rarely mentioned by CNN reporters that these casualties occurred only because Hamas’ rocket
launchers and weapons storage were dispersed among civilian areas, where
Israeli responses to a conflict initiated by Hamas was certain to be directed. If Hamas had located their weaponry
elsewhere, and not near homes, markets and schools, or hadn’t started shooting rockets
into Israel with the aim of doing harm there in the first place, there would
have not been so many casualties.
Hence, the blame for the dead and injured in Gaza should be placed upon Hamas and not directed exclusively toward Israel. But you would never get this idea from CNN’s reporters. They interviewed Israeli spokesmen who said as much, but it never came from their mouths.
Hence, the blame for the dead and injured in Gaza should be placed upon Hamas and not directed exclusively toward Israel. But you would never get this idea from CNN’s reporters. They interviewed Israeli spokesmen who said as much, but it never came from their mouths.
Blitzer in Hamas tunnel leading under border into Israel
I
was appalled by the even-handed approach which CNN’s Wolf Blitzer, Don Lemon
and their “on the scene” correspondents showed in covering the story. They bent over backwards so often that all of
them will probably need frequent chiropractic manipulations for the rest of
their lives. Perhaps, because he is
Jewish, Blitzer went out of his way to be overly fair in interviewing representatives of both the State of Israel and Hamas (listed as a terrorist group by most nations) and attempting to paint
the two sides as morally equivalent, which by any criteria whatsoever, they are
not.
I
had suspected that this occurred because CNN is a worldwide operation and did
not want to offend, if that is the correct word, their non-Western viewers by
suggesting that the blame for the deaths and injuries in Gaza should be placed
on Hamas for the reasons stated above. This
was hammered home to me the other evening when Blitzer was doing a split screen
interview with a Middle East expert based in Dubai about the situation in Iraq. There behind him on the wall of the Dubai studio
was emblazoned the emblem of the company he and Blitzer work for, at least in
that part of the world: CNNarabic.com.
Logo taken from www.CNNarabic.com
FoxNews and MSNBC may be heavily opinionated, but in attempting to be all things to all viewers, CNN suffers from a loss of integrity. At least with Fox and MSNBC, you know what you are getting. Not so with CNN.
JL
We Have A Problem (with Islam)
If
you accept the fact that the radical, extremist, jihadist version of Islam
espoused by a small minority of Muslims is the philosophy of those ultimately calling the shots in
Iraq, the West Bank, Gaza, Syria, Nigeria and that the rest of their
co-religionists are passively sitting by letting this happen, WE have a problem.
Dedicated minorities are vocal, often willing to die for their cause and
usually unwilling to compromise. If that
is the case today, whereby the majority of Muslims are content to sit on the
sidelines, WE have a problem.
Most of these passive Muslims do feel that the Arabs got a raw deal
in Palestine (even though they were the ones who abandoned their share of the
former British mandate that the United Nations' partition had given to them and fled to refugee camps from which they hoped to shortly
return to claim the entire country) and are continuing to be persecuted on the
West Bank and in Gaza. Of course, such “persecution” is only the result
of the threat extremists pose to Israel.
If they would stop claiming that one day they will take over the entire
country, including what they call “the Zionist entity,” what they perceive as
"persecution" would disappear.
Sadly, the radical position of the Muslim extremists means that they will
never recognize the State of Israel and their efforts to violently spread their faith throughout
the world will never cease. Since Muslims are incapable of separating
the concepts of a "nation" or of a political movement from their faith, any efforts to contain or destroy them results in their believing their opponents are attacking their faith, Islam.
While Muslim populations in Western nations are mostly law-abiding, hard
working people, a small number of them are extremist zealots or strongly sympathize with
them. The
trouble is that it is impossible to tell them from the others.
If
you cannot negotiate with people, if diplomacy fails, there remain two
choices: (1)
maintain a precarious, “always on your toes” position, doing what has to be
done to forestall the belligerent efforts of extremists and their often tacit supporters or, to borrow a phrase from Shakespeare, (2) “take arms against a sea of troubles and by opposing, end
them.”
William Shakespeare's advice concerning Muslim extremists
The State of Israel has pursued the first alternative. If the above analysis is reasonably close to
the truth, the rest of the Western, non-Muslim, world should be taking
Shakespeare’s advice seriously and go for the second alternative.
In view of the violent steps Islamic extremists are willing to take to
spread their faith and destroy their opponents, whom they take to be opponents
of their religion as well as of their politics both of which are inseparable
from one another, we should recognize the that the question of what to do
should again be phrased in Shakespeare’s words, this time: “To be, or not to be.”
If you believe what the Muslim extremists are saying, only one of us, either
Western civilization or Islam, will survive. The other will cease "to be."
Both cannot since militant Islam demands that they alone should rule the
world, with everyone else subservient to them. And it is militant Islam which is
calling the shots for the Arab world today.
The Armageddon Scenario: To "take arms against a sea of troubles and by opposing, end them," would involve establishing a Western military alliance capable of battling and
destroying all extremist armed forces in the entire Arab Muslim world. There would be massive
civilian casualties and it might take decades to accomplish. There would be an accompanying loss of freedoms for Muslims in Western countries, solely because of their faith, simply because of the difficulty in distinguishing extremists from more passive observers of Islam. It would take but one jihadist to carry a "suitcase" bomb somewhere where it might destroy an entire metropolis. All of this would truly
amount to a biblical Armageddon far more costly in blood and treasure than even the Second World War.
Japanese internees lined up at camp in the United States early in 1942. Would Muslims be treated similarly?
Are we willing to do all of this at this point? I DOUBT IT. I suspect we will drift into some version of the first alternative mentioned above, as Israel has been doing for years in the hope that, eventually, cooler and more rational heads will prevail among Muslim leadership.
But if events such as the destruction of the World Trade Center, and the
bombings which have occurred in Spain and England are repeated, that position will become more and more difficult to maintain. Alternative
and limited courses of action, for which Israel's response in Gaza might be the benchmark, will become fewer and fewer.
Can you think of any? I’ll be
glad to print them here. But don’t
suggest negotiations. When one side
refuses to compromise, negotiations are similar to listening to one hand
clapping.
And if you believe in the Armageddon scenario, I doubt that prayer will help, because the "bad guys" are praying to that same Deity, who is probably very confused over what those created in His image are doing. Indeed, WE have a problem.
And if you believe in the Armageddon scenario, I doubt that prayer will help, because the "bad guys" are praying to that same Deity, who is probably very confused over what those created in His image are doing. Indeed, WE have a problem.
JL
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